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Theory and Practice of Aging during the COVID-19 Pandemic
#MMPMIDC7724777
Golubev AG
; Sidorenko AV
?-/-? 2020[]; 10
(4
): 303-12
PMIDC7724777
show ga
Never before in history has population aging been a driving factor in epidemics
to the same extent as with the current COVID-19 pandemic, with its dramatic shift
in mortality towards older age groups. The paper presents the results of an
analysis of the COVID-19-related mortality data for Spain, Italy, and Sweden,
which show that within the 30- to 90-year age range, the logarithms of mortality
rate depend on age linearly, and all regression lines are strictly parallel to
the lines corresponding to the dependencies of the general mortality on age in
accordance with the Gompertz law. In all cases, irrespective of the countries and
epidemic stages, the mortality doubling times within this age range are close to
7.5 years. The probabilities of infection with the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, the
causative agent of COVID-19, and of the development of the clinical symptoms of
infection depend on age to a much lesser extent. Based on these observations,
three main points are proposed for discussion: (1) Older people have become the
main victims not only of SARS-CoV-2 itself but also of the measures undertaken to
prevent its spread; (2) At the same time, older people are not the main force
driving the spread of SARS-CoV-2, and (3) Older people can and should participate
in the fight against the pandemic and in overcoming its consequences, but not
through their selective isolation and other forms of discrimination. People over
65 years of age make up a considerable segment of the population and have at
least as much right as other age groups to have their needs and interests be
respected and observed, including the right to as high quality of life as is
accessible even in extreme situations. The prospects for full control over
SARS-CoV-2 are vague. This is why those who are in charge of decisions that
concern people over 65 years of age should mind that, unlike the situation in the
Middle Ages, the age of 65+ is the individual future of almost everyone.
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