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The Cold War analogy?s misrepresentation of the essence of US?China strategic
competition
#MMPMIDC7659896
Yin J
ä-/-ä 2020[]; 2
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): 257-69
PMIDC7659896
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The gradual deterioration of the US?China relationship during the Trump era has
inspired the development of diverse theoretical approaches to grasping the
essence of the two countries? recent great power rivalry. Although the Cold War
analogy is a useful heuristic for making sense of the dynamics of the US?China
strategic competition, it is based on the bygone US?Soviet relationship, and thus
may lead to misunderstandings about the particular logic of the current US?China
relationship. The pitfalls of relying on the Cold War analogy include
motivated bias, cognitive bias resulting from framing effects, and potentially
missing the real causal variable driving the rivalry. Historical analogies are
necessary but not sufficient for grasping the nature of the US?China case.
Instead, scholars should ascend the ladder of abstraction to escape the
conceptual stretching problem that contributes to misunderstandings in studies of
the dynamics of the US?China strategic competition.