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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Crime+Sci 2020 ; 9 (1): ä Nephropedia Template TP
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Crime and coronavirus: social distancing, lockdown, and the mobility elasticity of crime #MMPMID32834925
Halford E; Dixon A; Farrell G; Malleson N; Tilley N
Crime Sci 2020[]; 9 (1): ä PMID32834925show ga
Governments around the world restricted movement of people, using social distancing and lockdowns, to help stem the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. We examine crime effects for one UK police force area in comparison to 5-year averages. There is variation in the onset of change by crime type, some declining from the WHO ?global pandemic? announcement of 11 March, others later. By 1 week after the 23 March lockdown, all recorded crime had declined 41%, with variation: shoplifting (??62%), theft (??52%), domestic abuse (??45%), theft from vehicle (??43%), assault (??36%), burglary dwelling (??25%) and burglary non-dwelling (??25%). We use Google Covid-19 Community Mobility Reports to calculate the mobility elasticity of crime for four crime types, finding shoplifting and other theft inelastic but responsive to reduced retail sector mobility (MEC?=?0.84, 0.71 respectively), burglary dwelling elastic to increases in residential area mobility (??1), with assault inelastic but responsive to reduced workplace mobility (0.56). We theorise that crime rate changes were primarily caused by those in mobility, suggesting a mobility theory of crime change in the pandemic. We identify implications for crime theory, policy and future research.