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10.1007/s41403-020-00142-6

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1007/s41403-020-00142-6
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C7333587!7333587!38624421
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid38624421      ä-/-ä 2020 ; 5 (2): 117-27
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  • Epidemiologically and Socio-economically Optimal Policies via Bayesian Optimization #MMPMID38624421
  • Chandak A; Dey D; Mukhoty B; Kar P
  • ä-/-ä 2020[]; 5 (2): 117-27 PMID38624421show ga
  • Mass public quarantining, colloquially known as a lock-down, is a non-pharmaceutical intervention to check spread of disease. This paper presents ESOP (Epidemiologically and Socio-economically Optimal Policies), a novel application of active machine learning techniques using Bayesian optimization, that interacts with an epidemiological model to arrive at lock-down schedules that optimally balance public health benefits and socio-economic downsides of reduced economic activity during lock-down periods. The utility of ESOP is demonstrated using case studies with VIPER (Virus-Individual-Policy-EnviRonment), a stochastic agent-based simulator that this paper also proposes. However, ESOP is flexible enough to interact with arbitrary epidemiological simulators in a black-box manner, and produce schedules that involve multiple phases of lock-downs.
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