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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Nonlinear+Dyn 2020 ; 101 (3): 1681-92 Nephropedia Template TP
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Prediction of bifurcations by varying critical parameters of COVID-19 #MMPMID32836801
Nazarimehr F; Pham VT; Kapitaniak T
Nonlinear Dyn 2020[]; 101 (3): 1681-92 PMID32836801show ga
Coronavirus disease 2019 is a recent strong challenge for the world. In this paper, an epidemiology model is investigated as a model for the development of COVID-19. The propagation of COVID-19 through various sub-groups of society is studied. Some critical parameters, such as the background of mortality without considering the disease state and the speed of moving people from infected to resistance, affect the conditions of society. In this paper, early warning indicators are used to predict the bifurcation points in the system. In the interaction of various sub-groups of society, each sub-group can have various parameters. Six cases of the sub-groups interactions are studied. By coupling these sub-groups, various dynamics of the whole society are investigated.