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10.1016/j.csfx.2020.100034

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.csfx.2020.100034
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C7297692!7297692!C7297692
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmidC7297692      ä-/-ä 2020 ; 5 (ä): 100034
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  • COVID-19: The unreasonable effectiveness of simple models #MMPMIDC7297692
  • Carletti T; Fanelli D; Piazza F
  • ä-/-ä 2020[Mar]; 5 (ä): 100034 PMIDC7297692show ga
  • ?COVID-19 outbreak belongs to the simple universality class of the SIR model and extensions thereof.?The unpredictable non-stationarity of the testing frames behind the figures reported by national authorities sets a fundamental limitation to any theoretical approach.?The time evolution of the reporting rates controls the occurrence of the apparent epidemic peak, which typically follows the true one in countries that were not vigorous enough in their testing at the onset of the outbreak.
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