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Crime Rates in a Pandemic: the Largest Criminological Experiment in History
#MMPMID32837162
Stickle B
; Felson M
Am J Crim Justice
2020[]; 45
(4
): 525-536
PMID32837162
show ga
The COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 has impacted the world in ways not seen in
generations. Initial evidence suggests one of the effects is crime rates, which
appear to have fallen drastically in many communities around the world. We argue
that the principal reason for the change is the government ordered stay-at-home
orders, which impacted the routine activities of entire populations. Because
these orders impacted countries, states, and communities at different times and
in different ways, a naturally occurring, quasi-randomized control experiment has
unfolded, allowing the testing of criminological theories as never before. Using
new and traditional data sources made available as a result of the pandemic
criminologists are equipped to study crime in society as never before. We
encourage researchers to study specific types of crime, in a temporal fashion
(following the stay-at-home orders), and placed-based. The results will reveal
not only why, where, when, and to what extent crime changed, but also how to
influence future crime reduction.
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