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.jpg): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 117 J+Environ+Public+Health
2020 ; 2020
(ä): 9769267
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Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in
Morocco using the SIR Model
#MMPMID32565842
Ifguis O
; El Ghozlani M
; Ammou F
; Moutcine A
; Abdellah Z
J Environ Public Health
2020[]; 2020
(ä): 9769267
PMID32565842
show ga
Since the epidemic of COVID-19 was declared in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China,
and other parts of the world, several studies have been carried out over several
regions to observe the development of the epidemic, to predict its duration, and
to estimate its final size, using complex models such as the SEIR model or the
simpler ones such as the SIR model. These studies showed that the SIR model is
much more efficient than the SEIR model; therefore, we are applying this model in
the Kingdom of Morocco since the appearance of the first case on 2 March 2020,
with the objective of predicting the final size of the epidemic.