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2020 ; 2
(1-2
): 159-167
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COVID-19 contagion and digital finance
#MMPMID33179008
Agosto A
; Giudici P
Digit Finance
2020[]; 2
(1-2
): 159-167
PMID33179008
show ga
Digital finance is going to be heavily affected by the COVID-19 outbreak. We
present a statistical model which can be employed to understand the contagion
dynamics of the COVID-19, so that its impact on finance can possibly be
anticipated, and digitally monitored. The model is a Poisson autoregression of
the daily new observed cases, and considers both short-term and long-term
dependence in the infections counts. Model results are presented for the observed
time series of China, the first affected country, but can be easily reproduced
for all countries.