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2018 ; 17
(5
): 416-422
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Stage at which riluzole treatment prolongs survival in patients with amyotrophic
lateral sclerosis: a retrospective analysis of data from a dose-ranging study
#MMPMID29525492
Fang T
; Al Khleifat A
; Meurgey JH
; Jones A
; Leigh PN
; Bensimon G
; Al-Chalabi A
Lancet Neurol
2018[May]; 17
(5
): 416-422
PMID29525492
show ga
BACKGROUND: Riluzole is the only drug to prolong survival for amyotrophic lateral
sclerosis (ALS) and, at a dose of 100 mg, was associated with a 35% reduction in
mortality in a clinical trial. A key question is whether the survival benefit
occurs at an early stage of disease, late stage, or is spread throughout the
course of the disease. To address this question, we used the King's clinical
staging system to do a retrospective analysis of data from the original
dose-ranging clinical trial of riluzole. METHODS: In the original dose-ranging
trial, patients were enrolled between December, 1992, and November, 1993, in
Belgium, France, Germany, Spain, Canada, the USA, and the UK if they had probable
or definite ALS as defined by the El Escorial criteria. The censor date for the
riluzole survival data was set as the original study end date of Dec 31, 1994.
For this analysis, King's clinical ALS stage was estimated from the electronic
case record data of the modified Norris scale, UK Medical Research Council score
for muscle strength, El Escorial category, vital capacity, and gastrostomy
insertion data. The lowest allocated stage was 2 because the original trial only
included patients with probable or definite ALS. We used a ?(2) test to assess
the independence of stage at trial enrolment and treatment group, Kaplan-Meier
product limit distribution to test the transition from each stage to subsequent
stages, and Cox regression to confirm an effect of treatment group on time in
stage, controlling for covariates. We did sensitivity analyses by combining
treatment groups, using alternative strategies to stage, stratifying by stage at
trial enrolment, and using multistate outcome analysis of treatments (MOAT).
FINDINGS: We analysed the case records of all 959 participants from the original
dose-ranging trial, 237 assigned to 50 mg/day riluzole, 236 to 100 mg/day, 244 to
200 mg/day, and 242 to daily placebo. Clinical stage at enrolment did not
significantly differ between treatment groups (p=0·22). Time in stage 4 was
longer for patients receiving 100 mg/day riluzole than for those receiving
placebo (hazard ratio [HR] 0·55, 95% CI 0·36-0·83; log-rank p=0·037). Combining
treatment groups and stratifying by stage at enrolment showed a similar result
(HR 0·638, 95% CI 0·464-0·878; p=0·006), as did analysis with MOAT where the mean
number of days spent in stage 4 was numerically higher for patients given
riluzole at higher doses compared with patients receiving placebo. Time from
stages 2 or 3 to subsequent stages or death did not differ between riluzole
treatment groups and placebo (p=0·83 for stage 2 and 0·88 for stage 3).
INTERPRETATION: We showed that riluzole prolongs survival in the last clinical
stage of ALS; this finding needs to be confirmed in a prospective study, and
treatment effects at stage 1 still need to be analysed. The ALS stage at which
benefit occurs is important for counselling of patients before starting
treatment. Staging should be used in future ALS clinical trials to assess the
stage at which survival benefit occurs, and a similar approach could be used for
other neurodegenerative diseases. FUNDING: NIHR Maudsley Biomedical Research
Centre, The European Union Joint Programme on Neurodegeneration, and the King's
Summer Undergraduate Studentship.