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10.3390/antibiotics6010009 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.3390/antibiotics6010009 C5372989!5372989!28272350     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 265.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Antibiotics+(Basel) 2017 ; 6 (1): ä Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=28272350|t=2017. A Risk Assessment of Antibiotic Pan-Drug-Resistance in the UK: Bayesian Analysis of an Expert Elicitation Study |pdf=|usr=}}{{28272350}} gab.com Text A Risk Assessment of Antibiotic Pan-Drug-Resistance in the UK: Bayesian Analysis of an Expert Elicitation Study JO: Antibiotics (Basel) http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=28272350 #FOAvip To inform the UK antimicrobial resistance strategy, a risk assessment was undertaken of the likelihood, over a five-year time-frame, of the emergence and widespread dissemination of pan-drug-resistant (PDR) Gram-negative bacteria that would pose a major public health threat by compromising effective healthcare delivery. Subsequent impact over five- and 20-year time-frames was assessed in terms of morbidity and mortality attributable to PDR Gram-negative bacteraemia. A Bayesian approach, combining available data with expert prior opinion, was used to determine the probability of the emergence, persistence and spread of PDR bacteria. Overall probability was modelled using Monte Carlo simulation. Estimates of impact were also obtained using Bayesian methods. The estimated probability of widespread occurrence of PDR pathogens within five years was 0.2 (95% credibility interval (CrI): 0.07?0.37). Estimated annual numbers of PDR Gram-negative bacteraemias at five and 20 years were 6800 (95% CrI: 400?58,600) and 22,800 (95% CrI: 1500?160,000), respectively; corresponding estimates of excess deaths were 1900 (95% CrI: 0?23,000) and 6400 (95% CrI: 0?64,000). Over 20 years, cumulative estimates indicate 284,000 (95% CrI: 17,000?1,990,000) cases of PDR Gram-negative bacteraemia, leading to an estimated 79,000 (95% CrI: 0?821,000) deaths. This risk assessment reinforces the need for urgent national and international action to tackle antibiotic resistance. Twit Text FOAVip A Risk Assessment of Antibiotic Pan-Drug-Resistance in the UK: Bayesian Analysis of an Expert Elicitation Study ????Antibiotics (Basel) http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=28272350 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=28272350 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|28272350}}</ref> A Risk Assessment of Antibiotic Pan-Drug-Resistance in the UK: Bayesian Analysis of an Expert Elicitation Study #MMPMID28272350 Carter D; Charlett A; Conti S; Robotham JV; Johnson AP; Livermore DM; Fowler T; Sharland M; Hopkins S; Woodford N; Burgess P; Dobra S Antibiotics (Basel) 2017[Mar]; 6 (1): ä PMID28272350show ga To inform the UK antimicrobial resistance strategy, a risk assessment was undertaken of the likelihood, over a five-year time-frame, of the emergence and widespread dissemination of pan-drug-resistant (PDR) Gram-negative bacteria that would pose a major public health threat by compromising effective healthcare delivery. Subsequent impact over five- and 20-year time-frames was assessed in terms of morbidity and mortality attributable to PDR Gram-negative bacteraemia. A Bayesian approach, combining available data with expert prior opinion, was used to determine the probability of the emergence, persistence and spread of PDR bacteria. Overall probability was modelled using Monte Carlo simulation. Estimates of impact were also obtained using Bayesian methods. The estimated probability of widespread occurrence of PDR pathogens within five years was 0.2 (95% credibility interval (CrI): 0.07?0.37). Estimated annual numbers of PDR Gram-negative bacteraemias at five and 20 years were 6800 (95% CrI: 400?58,600) and 22,800 (95% CrI: 1500?160,000), respectively; corresponding estimates of excess deaths were 1900 (95% CrI: 0?23,000) and 6400 (95% CrI: 0?64,000). Over 20 years, cumulative estimates indicate 284,000 (95% CrI: 17,000?1,990,000) cases of PDR Gram-negative bacteraemia, leading to an estimated 79,000 (95% CrI: 0?821,000) deaths. This risk assessment reinforces the need for urgent national and international action to tackle antibiotic resistance. äA Risk Assessment of Antibiotic Pan-Drug-Resistance in the UK: Bayesia(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing