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.jpg): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 117 Orphanet+J+Rare+Dis
2017 ; 12
(1
): 44
Nephropedia Template TP
gab.com Text
Twit Text FOAVip
Twit Text #
English Wikipedia
Does the low prevalence affect the sample size of interventional clinical trials
of rare diseases? An analysis of data from the aggregate analysis of
clinicaltrials gov
#MMPMID28253932
Hee SW
; Willis A
; Tudur Smith C
; Day S
; Miller F
; Madan J
; Posch M
; Zohar S
; Stallard N
Orphanet J Rare Dis
2017[Mar]; 12
(1
): 44
PMID28253932
show ga
BACKGROUND: Clinical trials are typically designed using the classical
frequentist framework to constrain type I and II error rates. Sample sizes
required in such designs typically range from hundreds to thousands of patients
which can be challenging for rare diseases. It has been shown that rare disease
trials have smaller sample sizes than non-rare disease trials. Indeed some orphan
drugs were approved by the European Medicines Agency based on studies with as few
as 12 patients. However, some studies supporting marketing authorisation included
several hundred patients. In this work, we explore the relationship between
disease prevalence and other factors and the size of interventional phase 2 and 3
rare disease trials conducted in the US and/or EU. We downloaded all clinical
trials from Aggregate Analysis of ClinialTrials.gov (AACT) and identified rare
disease trials by cross-referencing MeSH terms in AACT with the list from
Orphadata. We examined the effects of prevalence and phase of study in a multiple
linear regression model adjusting for other statistically significant trial
characteristics. RESULTS: Of 186941 ClinicalTrials.gov trials only 1567 (0.8%)
studied a single rare condition with prevalence information from Orphadata. There
were 19 (1.2%) trials studying disease with prevalence <1/1,000,000, 126 (8.0%)
trials with 1-9/1,000,000, 791 (50.5%) trials with 1-9/100,000 and 631 (40.3%)
trials with 1-5/10,000. Of the 1567 trials, 1160 (74%) were phase 2 trials. The
fitted mean sample size for the rarest disease (prevalence <1/1,000,000) in phase
2 trials was the lowest (mean, 15.7; 95% CI, 8.7-28.1) but were similar across
all the other prevalence classes; mean, 26.2 (16.1-42.6), 33.8 (22.1-51.7) and
35.6 (23.3-54.3) for prevalence 1-9/1,000,000, 1-9/100,000 and 1-5/10,000,
respectively. Fitted mean size of phase 3 trials of rarer diseases, <1/1,000,000
(19.2, 6.9-53.2) and 1-9/1,000,000 (33.1, 18.6-58.9), were similar to those in
phase 2 but were statistically significant lower than the slightly less rare
diseases, 1-9/100,000 (75.3, 48.2-117.6) and 1-5/10,000 (77.7, 49.6-121.8),
trials. CONCLUSIONS: We found that prevalence was associated with the size of
phase 3 trials with trials of rarer diseases noticeably smaller than the less
rare diseases trials where phase 3 rarer disease (prevalence <1/100,000) trials
were more similar in size to those for phase 2 but were larger than those for
phase 2 in the less rare disease (prevalence ?1/100,000) trials.