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.jpg): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 117 Front+Psychol
2015 ; 6
(ä): 1327
Nephropedia Template TP
gab.com Text
Twit Text FOAVip
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English Wikipedia
Doctor, what does my positive test mean? From Bayesian textbook tasks to
personalized risk communication
#MMPMID26441711
Navarrete G
; Correia R
; Sirota M
; Juanchich M
; Huepe D
Front Psychol
2015[]; 6
(ä): 1327
PMID26441711
show ga
Most of the research on Bayesian reasoning aims to answer theoretical questions
about the extent to which people are able to update their beliefs according to
Bayes' Theorem, about the evolutionary nature of Bayesian inference, or about the
role of cognitive abilities in Bayesian inference. Few studies aim to answer
practical, mainly health-related questions, such as, "What does it mean to have a
positive test in a context of cancer screening?" or "What is the best way to
communicate a medical test result so a patient will understand it?". This type of
research aims to translate empirical findings into effective ways of providing
risk information. In addition, the applied research often adopts the paradigms
and methods of the theoretically-motivated research. But sometimes it works the
other way around, and the theoretical research borrows the importance of the
practical question in the medical context. The study of Bayesian reasoning is
relevant to risk communication in that, to be as useful as possible, applied
research should employ specifically tailored methods and contexts specific to the
recipients of the risk information. In this paper, we concentrate on the
communication of the result of medical tests and outline the epidemiological and
test parameters that affect the predictive power of a test-whether it is correct
or not. Building on this, we draw up recommendations for better practice to
convey the results of medical tests that could inform health policy makers (What
are the drawbacks of mass screenings?), be used by health practitioners and, in
turn, help patients to make better and more informed decisions.