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10.1371/journal.pone.0138278 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1371/journal.pone.0138278 C4570716!4570716!26372224     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       PLoS+One 2015 ; 10 (9): ä Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=26372224|t=2015. Catastrophic Regime Shift in Water Reservoirs and São Paulo Water Supply Crisis |pdf=|usr=}}{{26372224}} gab.com Text Catastrophic Regime Shift in Water Reservoirs and São Paulo Water Supply Crisis JO: PLoS One http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26372224 #FOAvip The relation between rainfall and water accumulated in reservoirs comprises nonlinear feedbacks. Here we show that they may generate alternative equilibrium regimes, one of high water-volume, the other of low water-volume. Reservoirs can be seen as socio-environmental systems at risk of regime shifts, characteristic of tipping point transitions. We analyze data from stored water, rainfall, and water inflow and outflow in the main reservoir serving the metropolitan area of São Paulo, Brazil, by means of indicators of critical regime shifts, and find a strong signal of a transition. We furthermore build a mathematical model that gives a mechanistic view of the dynamics and demonstrates that alternative stable states are an expected property of water reservoirs. We also build a stochastic version of this model that fits well to the data. These results highlight the broader aspect that reservoir management must account for their intrinsic bistability, and should benefit from dynamical systems theory. Our case study illustrates the catastrophic consequences of failing to do so. Twit Text FOAVip Catastrophic Regime Shift in Water Reservoirs and São Paulo Water Supply Crisis ????PLoS One http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26372224 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26372224 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|26372224}}</ref> Catastrophic Regime Shift in Water Reservoirs and São Paulo Water Supply Crisis #MMPMID26372224 Coutinho RM; Kraenkel RA; Prado PI PLoS One 2015[]; 10 (9): ä PMID26372224show ga The relation between rainfall and water accumulated in reservoirs comprises nonlinear feedbacks. Here we show that they may generate alternative equilibrium regimes, one of high water-volume, the other of low water-volume. Reservoirs can be seen as socio-environmental systems at risk of regime shifts, characteristic of tipping point transitions. We analyze data from stored water, rainfall, and water inflow and outflow in the main reservoir serving the metropolitan area of São Paulo, Brazil, by means of indicators of critical regime shifts, and find a strong signal of a transition. We furthermore build a mathematical model that gives a mechanistic view of the dynamics and demonstrates that alternative stable states are an expected property of water reservoirs. We also build a stochastic version of this model that fits well to the data. These results highlight the broader aspect that reservoir management must account for their intrinsic bistability, and should benefit from dynamical systems theory. Our case study illustrates the catastrophic consequences of failing to do so. äCatastrophic Regime Shift in Water Reservoirs and São Paulo Water Supp(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing