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2024 ; 14
(7
): e084356
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Assessing economic investment required to scale up bariatric surgery capacity in
England: a health economic modelling analysis
#MMPMID39089720
Baker-Knight J
; Pournaras DJ
; Mahawar K
; Welbourn R
; Li Y
; Sharma Y
; Guerra I
; Tahrani A
BMJ Open
2024[Jul]; 14
(7
): e084356
PMID39089720
show ga
OBJECTIVES: To quantify the economic investment required to increase bariatric
surgery (BaS) capacity in National Health Service (NHS) England considering the
growing obesity prevalence and low provision of BaS in England despite its high
clinical effectiveness. DESIGN: Data were included for the patients with obesity
who were eligible for BaS. We used a decision-tree approach including four
distinct steps of the patient pathway to capture all associated resource use. We
estimated total costs according to the current capacity (current scenario) and
three BaS scaling up strategies over a time horizon of 20 years (projected
scenario): maximising NHS capacity (strategy 1), maximising NHS and private
sector capacity (strategy 2) and adding infrastructure to NHS capacity to cover
the entire prevalent and incident obesity populations (strategy 3). SETTING: BaS
centres based in NHS and private sector hospitals in England. MAIN OUTCOME
MEASURES: Number of BaS procedures (including revision surgery), cost (GBP) and
resource utilisation over 20 years. RESULTS: At current capacity, the number of
BaS procedures and the total cost over 20 years were estimated to be 140?220 and
£1.4?billion, respectively. For strategy 1, these values were projected to
increase to 157?760 and £1.7?billion, respectively. For strategy 2, the values
were projected to increase to 232?760 and £2.5?billion, respectively. Strategy 3
showed the highest increase to 564?784 and £6.4?billion, respectively, with an
additional 4081 personnel and 49 facilities required over 20 years. CONCLUSIONS:
The expansion of BaS capacity in England beyond a small proportion of the
eligible population will likely be challenging given the significant upfront
economic investment and additional requirement of personnel and infrastructure.
|*Bariatric Surgery/economics
[MESH]
|*Models, Economic
[MESH]
|*State Medicine/economics
[MESH]
|England
[MESH]
|Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data
[MESH]