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10.1038/s41467-025-66839-w http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1038/s41467-025-66839-w 41353201!?!41353201 Warning: file_get_contents(https://eutils.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/eutils/elink.fcgi?dbfrom=pubmed&id=41353201&cmd=llinks): Failed to open stream: HTTP request failed! HTTP/1.1 429 Too Many Requests in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 215       Nat+Commun 2025 ; ? (?): ? Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=41353201|t=2025. CMIP6 models cannot capture long-term forced changes in the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature gradient |pdf=|usr=}}{{41353201}} gab.com Text CMIP6 models cannot capture long-term forced changes in the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature gradient JO: Nat Commun http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=41353201 #FOAvip The observed zonal sea surface temperature gradient in the tropical Pacific has strengthened over the last 150 years, but many CMIP6 models simulate a forced weakening of this gradient over the same period. This has spurred a multi-decade debate over whether models are correctly representing dynamics in the tropical Pacific and whether the observed strengthening is a forced response. We comprehensively assess all observed and modeled gradient trends of 20 years or longer from 1870-2024 across five observational datasets and 14 CMIP6 large ensembles and find that models are not able to match many long-term trends in the observed gradient, especially those that end more recently. Models that are able to match these trends do so through excessive internal variability that compensates for their gradient-weakening forced responses. We additionally find that trends in the observed gradient strengthen at an increasing rate with time, a forced response that is in contrast to the behavior of most models. Twit Text FOAVip CMIP6 models cannot capture long-term forced changes in the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature gradient ????Nat Commun http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=41353201 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=41353201 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|41353201}}</ref> CMIP6 models cannot capture long-term forced changes in the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature gradient #MMPMID41353201 Byrne H; Seager R; Smerdon JE Nat Commun 2025[Dec]; ? (?): ? PMID41353201show ga The observed zonal sea surface temperature gradient in the tropical Pacific has strengthened over the last 150 years, but many CMIP6 models simulate a forced weakening of this gradient over the same period. This has spurred a multi-decade debate over whether models are correctly representing dynamics in the tropical Pacific and whether the observed strengthening is a forced response. We comprehensively assess all observed and modeled gradient trends of 20 years or longer from 1870-2024 across five observational datasets and 14 CMIP6 large ensembles and find that models are not able to match many long-term trends in the observed gradient, especially those that end more recently. Models that are able to match these trends do so through excessive internal variability that compensates for their gradient-weakening forced responses. We additionally find that trends in the observed gradient strengthen at an increasing rate with time, a forced response that is in contrast to the behavior of most models. ?CMIP6 models cannot capture long-term forced changes in the tropical P(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing