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10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00089-7

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00089-7
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35131043!8816388!35131043
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid35131043      Lancet 2022 ; 399 (10327): 814-823
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  • Risk of infection, hospitalisation, and death up to 9 months after a second dose of COVID-19 vaccine: a retrospective, total population cohort study in Sweden #MMPMID35131043
  • Nordstrom P; Ballin M; Nordstrom A
  • Lancet 2022[Feb]; 399 (10327): 814-823 PMID35131043show ga
  • BACKGROUND: Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 beyond 6 months remains incompletely understood. We aimed to investigate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination against the risk of infection, hospitalisation, and death during the first 9 months after vaccination for the total population of Sweden. METHODS: This retrospective, total population cohort study was done using data from Swedish nationwide registers. The cohort comprised all individuals vaccinated with two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, mRNA-1273, or BNT162b2, and matched unvaccinated individuals, with data on vaccinations and infections updated until Oct 4, 2021. Two outcomes were evaluated. The first was SARS-CoV-2 infection of any severity from Jan 12 to Oct 4, 2021. The second was severe COVID-19, defined as hospitalisation for COVID-19 or all-cause 30-day mortality after confirmed infection, from March 15 to Sept 28, 2021. FINDINGS: Between Dec 28, 2020, and Oct 4, 2021, 842 974 individuals were fully vaccinated (two doses), and were matched (1:1) to an equal number of unvaccinated individuals (total study cohort n=1 685 948). For the outcome SARS-CoV-2 infection of any severity, the vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 waned progressively over time, from 92% (95% CI 92 to 93; p<0.001) at 15-30 days, to 47% (39 to 55; p<0.001) at 121-180 days, and to 23% (-2 to 41; p=0.07) from day 211 onwards. Waning was slightly slower for mRNA-1273, with a vaccine effectiveness of 96% (94 to 97; p<0.001) at 15-30 days and 59% (18 to 79; p=0.012) from day 181 onwards. Waning was also slightly slower for heterologous ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 plus an mRNA vaccine, for which vaccine effectiveness was 89% (79 to 94; p<0.001) at 15-30 days and 66% (41 to 80; p<0.001) from day 121 onwards. By contrast, vaccine effectiveness for homologous ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine was 68% (52 to 79; p<0.001) at 15-30 days, with no detectable effectiveness from day 121 onwards (-19% [-98 to 28]; p=0.49). For the outcome of severe COVID-19, vaccine effectiveness waned from 89% (82 to 93; p<0.001) at 15-30 days to 64% (44 to 77; p<0.001) from day 121 onwards. Overall, there was some evidence for lower vaccine effectiveness in men than in women and in older individuals than in younger individuals. INTERPRETATION: We found progressively waning vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection of any severity across all subgroups, but the rate of waning differed according to vaccine type. With respect to severe COVID-19, vaccine effectiveness seemed to be better maintained, although some waning became evident after 4 months. The results strengthen the evidence-based rationale for administration of a third vaccine dose as a booster. FUNDING: None.
  • |*COVID-19/mortality/prevention & control[MESH]
  • |*Severity of Illness Index[MESH]
  • |2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273/administration & dosage/immunology[MESH]
  • |BNT162 Vaccine/administration & dosage/immunology[MESH]
  • |COVID-19 Vaccines/*administration & dosage/immunology[MESH]
  • |ChAdOx1 nCoV-19/administration & dosage/immunology[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Hospitalization/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Retrospective Studies[MESH]
  • |Sweden[MESH]
  • |Time Factors[MESH]


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