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10.1002/sdr.1673 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1002/sdr.1673 34230767!8250772!34230767     free     free     free Warning: file_get_contents(https://eutils.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/eutils/elink.fcgi?dbfrom=pubmed&id=34230767&cmd=llinks): Failed to open stream: HTTP request failed! 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Behavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations |pdf=|usr=}}{{34230767}} gab.com Text Behavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations JO: Syst Dyn Rev http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=34230767 #FOAvip Effective responses to the COVID-19 pandemic require integrating behavioral factors such as risk-driven contact reduction, improved treatment, and adherence fatigue with asymptomatic transmission, disease acuity, and hospital capacity. We build one such model and estimate it for all 92 nations with reliable testing data. Cumulative cases and deaths through 22 December 2020 are estimated to be 7.03 and 1.44 times official reports, yielding an infection fatality rate (IFR) of 0.51 percent, which has been declining over time. Absent adherence fatigue, cumulative cases would have been 47 percent lower. Scenarios through June 2021 show that modest improvement in responsiveness could reduce cases and deaths by about 14 percent, more than the impact of vaccinating half of the population by that date. Variations in responsiveness to risk explain two orders of magnitude difference in per-capita deaths despite reproduction numbers fluctuating around one across nations. A public online simulator facilitates scenario analysis over the coming months. (c) 2021 System Dynamics Society. Twit Text FOAVip Behavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations ????Syst Dyn Rev http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=34230767 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=34230767 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|34230767}}</ref> Behavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations #MMPMID34230767 Rahmandad H; Lim TY; Sterman J Syst Dyn Rev 2021[Jan]; 37 (1): 5-31 PMID34230767show ga Effective responses to the COVID-19 pandemic require integrating behavioral factors such as risk-driven contact reduction, improved treatment, and adherence fatigue with asymptomatic transmission, disease acuity, and hospital capacity. We build one such model and estimate it for all 92 nations with reliable testing data. Cumulative cases and deaths through 22 December 2020 are estimated to be 7.03 and 1.44 times official reports, yielding an infection fatality rate (IFR) of 0.51 percent, which has been declining over time. Absent adherence fatigue, cumulative cases would have been 47 percent lower. Scenarios through June 2021 show that modest improvement in responsiveness could reduce cases and deaths by about 14 percent, more than the impact of vaccinating half of the population by that date. Variations in responsiveness to risk explain two orders of magnitude difference in per-capita deaths despite reproduction numbers fluctuating around one across nations. A public online simulator facilitates scenario analysis over the coming months. (c) 2021 System Dynamics Society. äBehavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple w(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing