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10.3390/ijerph18136883

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.3390/ijerph18136883
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid34206915      Int+J+Environ+Res+Public+Health 2021 ; 18 (13): ä
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  • Assessing the Country-Level Excess All-Cause Mortality and the Impacts of Air Pollution and Human Activity during the COVID-19 Epidemic #MMPMID34206915
  • Meng Y; Wong MS; Xing H; Kwan MP; Zhu R
  • Int J Environ Res Public Health 2021[Jun]; 18 (13): ä PMID34206915show ga
  • The impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) on cause-specific mortality has been investigated on a global scale. However, less is known about the excess all-cause mortality and air pollution-human activity responses. This study estimated the weekly excess all-cause mortality during COVID-19 and evaluated the impacts of air pollution and human activities on mortality variations during the 10th to 52nd weeks of 2020 among sixteen countries. A SARIMA model was adopted to estimate the mortality benchmark based on short-term mortality during 2015-2019 and calculate excess mortality. A quasi-likelihood Poisson-based GAM model was further applied for air pollution/human activity response evaluation, namely ground-level NO(2) and PM(2.5) and the visit frequencies of parks and workplaces. The findings showed that, compared with COVID-19 mortality (i.e., cause-specific mortality), excess all-cause mortality changed from -26.52% to 373.60% during the 10th to 52nd weeks across the sixteen countries examined, revealing higher excess all-cause mortality than COVID-19 mortality in most countries. For the impact of air pollution and human activities, the average country-level relative risk showed that one unit increase in weekly NO(2), PM(2.5), park visits and workplace visits was associated with approximately 1.54% increase and 0.19%, 0.23%, and 0.23% decrease in excess all-cause mortality, respectively. Moreover, compared with the impact on COVID-19 mortality, the relative risks of weekly NO(2) and PM(2.5) were lower, and the relative risks of weekly park and workplace visits were higher for excess all-cause mortality. These results suggest that the estimation based on excess all-cause mortality reduced the potential impact of air pollution and enhanced the influence of human activities compared with the estimation based on COVID-19 mortality.
  • |*Air Pollutants/analysis/toxicity[MESH]
  • |*Air Pollution/adverse effects/analysis[MESH]
  • |*COVID-19[MESH]
  • |*Epidemics[MESH]
  • |Environmental Exposure/analysis[MESH]
  • |Human Activities[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Mortality[MESH]
  • |Particulate Matter/analysis/toxicity[MESH]


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  • suck abstract from ncbi

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