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10.1126/sciadv.abe2584

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1126/sciadv.abe2584
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33962957!8104862!33962957
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33962957      Sci+Adv 2021 ; 7 (19): ä
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  • The impact of relaxing interventions on human contact patterns and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in China #MMPMID33962957
  • Zhang J; Litvinova M; Liang Y; Zheng W; Shi H; Vespignani A; Viboud C; Ajelli M; Yu H
  • Sci Adv 2021[May]; 7 (19): ä PMID33962957show ga
  • Nonpharmaceutical interventions to control SARS-CoV-2 spread have been implemented with different intensity, timing, and impact on transmission. As a result, post-lockdown COVID-19 dynamics are heterogeneous and difficult to interpret. We describe a set of contact surveys performed in four Chinese cities (Wuhan, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Changsha) during the pre-pandemic, lockdown and post-lockdown periods to quantify changes in contact patterns. In the post-lockdown period, the mean number of contacts increased by 5 to 17% as compared to the lockdown period. However, it remains three to seven times lower than its pre-pandemic level sufficient to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission. We find that the impact of school interventions depends nonlinearly on the intensity of other activities. When most community activities are halted, school closure leads to a 77% decrease in the reproduction number; in contrast, when social mixing outside of schools is at pre-pandemic level, school closure leads to a 5% reduction in transmission.
  • |*Quarantine[MESH]
  • |*SARS-CoV-2[MESH]
  • |Adolescent[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Aged[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/*epidemiology/*transmission/virology[MESH]
  • |Child[MESH]
  • |Child, Preschool[MESH]
  • |China/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Cities/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Contact Tracing/methods/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Infant[MESH]
  • |Infant, Newborn[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Pandemics/*prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Surveys and Questionnaires[MESH]


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