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10.1098/rsos.201491

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1098/rsos.201491
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33959319      R+Soc+Open+Sci 2021 ; 8 (3): 201491
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  • Effectiveness and resource requirements of test, trace and isolate strategies for COVID in the UK #MMPMID33959319
  • He B; Zaidi S; Elesedy B; Hutchinson M; Paleyes A; Harling G; Johnson AM; Whye Teh Y
  • R Soc Open Sci 2021[Mar]; 8 (3): 201491 PMID33959319show ga
  • We use an individual-level transmission and contact simulation model to explore the effectiveness and resource requirements of various test-trace-isolate (TTI) strategies for reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK, in the context of different scenarios with varying levels of stringency of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Based on modelling results, we show that self-isolation of symptomatic individuals and quarantine of their household contacts has a substantial impact on the number of new infections generated by each primary case. We further show that adding contact tracing of non-household contacts of confirmed cases to this broader package of interventions reduces the number of new infections otherwise generated by 5-15%. We also explore impact of key factors, such as tracing application adoption and testing delay, on overall effectiveness of TTI.
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