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10.1038/s41598-021-88204-9 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1038/s41598-021-88204-9 33927224!8085000!33927224     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 245.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 245.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Sci+Rep 2021 ; 11 (1): 9233 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=33927224|t=2021. Fleeing lockdown and its impact on the size of epidemic outbreaks in the source and target regions - a COVID-19 lesson |pdf=|usr=}}{{33927224}} gab.com Text Fleeing lockdown and its impact on the size of epidemic outbreaks in the source and target regions - a COVID-19 lesson JO: Sci Rep http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33927224 #FOAvip The COVID-19 pandemic forced authorities worldwide to implement moderate to severe restrictions in order to slow down or suppress the spread of the disease. It has been observed in several countries that a significant number of people fled a city or a region just before strict lockdown measures were implemented. This behavior carries the risk of seeding a large number of infections all at once in regions with otherwise small number of cases. In this work, we investigate the effect of fleeing on the size of an epidemic outbreak in the region under lockdown, and also in the region of destination. We propose a mathematical model that is suitable to describe the spread of an infectious disease over multiple geographic regions. Our approach is flexible to characterize the transmission of different viruses. As an example, we consider the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy. Projection of different scenarios shows that (i) timely and stricter intervention could have significantly lowered the number of cumulative cases in Italy, and (ii) fleeing at the time of lockdown possibly played a minor role in the spread of the disease in the country. Twit Text FOAVip Fleeing lockdown and its impact on the size of epidemic outbreaks in the source and target regions - a COVID-19 lesson ????Sci Rep http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33927224 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33927224 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|33927224}}</ref> Fleeing lockdown and its impact on the size of epidemic outbreaks in the source and target regions - a COVID-19 lesson #MMPMID33927224 Barbarossa MV; Bogya N; Denes A; Rost G; Varma HV; Vizi Z Sci Rep 2021[Apr]; 11 (1): 9233 PMID33927224show ga The COVID-19 pandemic forced authorities worldwide to implement moderate to severe restrictions in order to slow down or suppress the spread of the disease. It has been observed in several countries that a significant number of people fled a city or a region just before strict lockdown measures were implemented. This behavior carries the risk of seeding a large number of infections all at once in regions with otherwise small number of cases. In this work, we investigate the effect of fleeing on the size of an epidemic outbreak in the region under lockdown, and also in the region of destination. We propose a mathematical model that is suitable to describe the spread of an infectious disease over multiple geographic regions. Our approach is flexible to characterize the transmission of different viruses. As an example, we consider the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy. Projection of different scenarios shows that (i) timely and stricter intervention could have significantly lowered the number of cumulative cases in Italy, and (ii) fleeing at the time of lockdown possibly played a minor role in the spread of the disease in the country. |*Communicable Disease Control[MESH] |*Models, Theoretical[MESH] |*Quarantine[MESH] |COVID-19/*epidemiology/transmission[MESH] |Disease Outbreaks[MESH] |Forecasting[MESH] |Human Migration[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Italy[MESH] |Pandemics[MESH]Fleeing lockdown and its impact on the size of epidemic outbreaks in t(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing