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10.1177/00333549211011254

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1177/00333549211011254
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33909541!8203040!33909541
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33909541      Public+Health+Rep 2021 ; 136 (4): 475-482
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  • Public Compliance With Social Distancing Measures and SARS-CoV-2 Spread : A Quantitative Analysis of 5 States #MMPMID33909541
  • Liu H; Chen C; Cruz-Cano R; Guida JL; Lee M
  • Public Health Rep 2021[Jul]; 136 (4): 475-482 PMID33909541show ga
  • OBJECTIVE: We quantified the association between public compliance with social distancing measures and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the first wave of the epidemic (March-May 2020) in 5 states that accounted for half of the total number of COVID-19 cases in the United States. METHODS: We used data on mobility and number of COVID-19 cases to longitudinally estimate associations between public compliance, as measured by human mobility, and the daily reproduction number and daily growth rate during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in California, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York. RESULTS: The 5 states mandated social distancing directives during March 19-24, 2020, and public compliance with mandates started to decrease in mid-April 2020. As of May 31, 2020, the daily reproduction number decreased from 2.41-5.21 to 0.72-1.19, and the daily growth rate decreased from 0.22-0.77 to -0.04 to 0.05 in the 5 states. The level of public compliance, as measured by the social distancing index (SDI) and daily encounter-density change, was high at the early stage of implementation but decreased in the 5 states. The SDI was negatively associated with the daily reproduction number (regression coefficients range, -0.04 to -0.01) and the daily growth rate (from -0.009 to -0.01). The daily encounter-density change was positively associated with the daily reproduction number (regression coefficients range, 0.24 to 1.02) and the daily growth rate (from 0.05 to 0.26). CONCLUSIONS: Social distancing is an effective strategy to reduce the incidence of COVID-19 and illustrates the role of public compliance with social distancing measures to achieve public health benefits.
  • |*Physical Distancing[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/*epidemiology/prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Communicable Disease Control/methods[MESH]
  • |Cooperative Behavior[MESH]
  • |Disease Transmission, Infectious/prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Government Regulation[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Incidence[MESH]


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