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10.1016/j.idm.2021.02.003 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.idm.2021.02.003 33898882!8054142!33898882     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Infect+Dis+Model 2021 ; 6 (ä): 632-642 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=33898882|t=2021. Containment effort reduction and regrowth patterns of the Covid-19 spreading |pdf=|usr=}}{{33898882}} gab.com Text Containment effort reduction and regrowth patterns of the Covid-19 spreading JO: Infect Dis Model http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33898882 #FOAvip In all countries the political decisions aim to achieve an almost stable configuration with a small number of new infected individuals per day due to Covid-19. When such a condition is reached, the containment effort is usually reduced in favor of a gradual reopening of the social life and of the various economical sectors. However, in this new phase, the infection spread restarts and, moreover, possible mutations of the virus give rise to a large specific growth rate of the infected people. Therefore, a quantitative analysis of the regrowth pattern is very useful. We discuss a macroscopic approach which, on the basis of the collected data in the first lockdown, after few days from the beginning of the new phase, outlines different scenarios of the Covid-19 diffusion for longer time. The purpose of this paper is a demonstration-of-concept: one takes simple growth models, considers the available data and shows how the future trend of the spread can be obtained. The method applies a time dependent carrying capacity, analogously to many macroscopic growth laws in biology, economics and population dynamics. The illustrative cases of France, Italy and United Kingdom are analyzed. Twit Text FOAVip Containment effort reduction and regrowth patterns of the Covid-19 spreading ????Infect Dis Model http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33898882 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33898882 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|33898882}}</ref> Containment effort reduction and regrowth patterns of the Covid-19 spreading #MMPMID33898882 Lanteri D; Carco D; Castorina P; Ceccarelli M; Cacopardo B Infect Dis Model 2021[]; 6 (ä): 632-642 PMID33898882show ga In all countries the political decisions aim to achieve an almost stable configuration with a small number of new infected individuals per day due to Covid-19. When such a condition is reached, the containment effort is usually reduced in favor of a gradual reopening of the social life and of the various economical sectors. However, in this new phase, the infection spread restarts and, moreover, possible mutations of the virus give rise to a large specific growth rate of the infected people. Therefore, a quantitative analysis of the regrowth pattern is very useful. We discuss a macroscopic approach which, on the basis of the collected data in the first lockdown, after few days from the beginning of the new phase, outlines different scenarios of the Covid-19 diffusion for longer time. The purpose of this paper is a demonstration-of-concept: one takes simple growth models, considers the available data and shows how the future trend of the spread can be obtained. The method applies a time dependent carrying capacity, analogously to many macroscopic growth laws in biology, economics and population dynamics. The illustrative cases of France, Italy and United Kingdom are analyzed. äContainment effort reduction and regrowth patterns of the Covid-19 spr(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing