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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Euro+Surveill 2021 ; 26 (15): ä Nephropedia Template TP
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Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B 1 1 7 circulation in France #MMPMID33860748
Di Domenico L; Sabbatini CE; Pullano G; Levy-Bruhl D; Colizza V
Euro Surveill 2021[Apr]; 26 (15): ä PMID33860748show ga
Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the historical strains while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospitalisations is expected, despite the foreseen increase in vaccination rhythm.