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10.1017/S0950268821000686 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1017/S0950268821000686 33814022!8047398!33814022     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Epidemiol+Infect 2021 ; 149 (ä): e86 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=33814022|t=2021. Estimating the effects of reopening of schools on the course of the epidemic of COVID-19 |pdf=|usr=}}{{33814022}} gab.com Text Estimating the effects of reopening of schools on the course of the epidemic of COVID-19 JO: Epidemiol Infect http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33814022 #FOAvip In this paper, we present a method to estimate the risk of reopening of schools illustrated with the case of the State of Sao Paulo, Brazil. The model showed that, although no death of children would result from the reopening of the schools in the three cities analysed, the risk of asymptomatic and symptomatic cases and secondary cases among teachers, school staff and relatives of the children is not negligible. Although the epidemic hit different regions with different intensities, our model shows that, for regions where the incidence profile is similar to the cities analysed, the risk of reopening of schools is still too high. This in spite of the fact that incidences in these cities were declining in the period of the time considered. Therefore, although we cannot extend the result to the entire country, the overall conclusion is valid for regions with a declining incidence and it is even more valid for regions where incidence is increasing. We assumed a very conservative level of infection transmissibility of children of just 10% as that of adults. In spite of the very low level of transmissibility is assumed, the number of secondary cases caused by infected children among teachers, school staff and relatives varied from 2 to 85. It is, therefore, too soon to have any degree of confidence that reopening of schools before the advent of a vaccine is the right decision to take. The purpose of our model and simulations is to provide a method to estimate the risk of school reopening, although we are sure it could be applied as a guide to public health strategies. Twit Text FOAVip Estimating the effects of reopening of schools on the course of the epidemic of COVID-19 ????Epidemiol Infect http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33814022 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33814022 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|33814022}}</ref> Estimating the effects of reopening of schools on the course of the epidemic of COVID-19 #MMPMID33814022 Massad E; Amaku M; Tadeu Covas D; Fernandes Lopez L; Coutinho FAB Epidemiol Infect 2021[Apr]; 149 (ä): e86 PMID33814022show ga In this paper, we present a method to estimate the risk of reopening of schools illustrated with the case of the State of Sao Paulo, Brazil. The model showed that, although no death of children would result from the reopening of the schools in the three cities analysed, the risk of asymptomatic and symptomatic cases and secondary cases among teachers, school staff and relatives of the children is not negligible. Although the epidemic hit different regions with different intensities, our model shows that, for regions where the incidence profile is similar to the cities analysed, the risk of reopening of schools is still too high. This in spite of the fact that incidences in these cities were declining in the period of the time considered. Therefore, although we cannot extend the result to the entire country, the overall conclusion is valid for regions with a declining incidence and it is even more valid for regions where incidence is increasing. We assumed a very conservative level of infection transmissibility of children of just 10% as that of adults. In spite of the very low level of transmissibility is assumed, the number of secondary cases caused by infected children among teachers, school staff and relatives varied from 2 to 85. It is, therefore, too soon to have any degree of confidence that reopening of schools before the advent of a vaccine is the right decision to take. The purpose of our model and simulations is to provide a method to estimate the risk of school reopening, although we are sure it could be applied as a guide to public health strategies. |*Schools[MESH] |Adult[MESH] |Asymptomatic Infections/epidemiology[MESH] |Brazil/epidemiology[MESH] |COVID-19/*epidemiology/prevention & control/*transmission[MESH] |Child[MESH] |Child, Preschool[MESH] |Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control[MESH] |Family[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Incidence[MESH] |Infant[MESH] |Models, Theoretical[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH] |School Teachers[MESH] |Students/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]Estimating the effects of reopening of schools on the course of the ep(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing