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10.1016/j.semerg.2021.01.004

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.semerg.2021.01.004
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33812795      Semergen 2021 ; 47 (3): 181-188
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  • Evaluacion de las medidas de distanciamiento social sobre la transmisibilidad de COVID-19 en el medio rural Estudio longitudinal retrospectivo de casos posibles #MMPMID33812795
  • Pena-Galo E; Turon-Alcaine JM; Gracia-Carrasco E; Alcedo-Gonzalez J
  • Semergen 2021[Apr]; 47 (3): 181-188 PMID33812795show ga
  • AIM: To evaluate the social distance effect on the daily frequency of possible SARS-CoV-2 cases in Primary Care, in relation to the predictive model Kermack-McKendrick. METHODS: Longitudinal retrospective study in 2 rural populations of Aragon (13,579h). A time series evaluation with a t-Student analysis was carry on, during the first 70 days of the pandemic. A simple Kermack-McKendrick predictive model was compared with the possible COVID-19 cases. Complementary ANOVA analysis to assess the before-after number of daily cases, follow-up days and days from symptoms onset to first contact with Primary Health Care. RESULTS: Three hundred and fifty-nine cases were detected (53.4% women; 70.7% under 60). Primary Care followed 95.3% of cases. The number of cases during the first social distancing strategies was higher in comparison with the model (P=.004, P=.006 and P=.004) with a media of decreases of 6.7 possible cases by series. In relation to the lockdown period the model and cases are close (P=.608 and P=.093), with an average decrease of 1.8 cases per series. During post-containment, the number of cases per day (P<.001) and days of follow-up (P<.001) increased. CONCLUSIONS: Social distancing and containment measures were effective in reducing the number of possible COVID-19 cases in rural areas. Primary Care followed most of the cases.
  • |*Physical Distancing[MESH]
  • |Adolescent[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Aged[MESH]
  • |Aged, 80 and over[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/epidemiology/*prevention & control/transmission[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Follow-Up Studies[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Longitudinal Studies[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Primary Health Care[MESH]
  • |Retrospective Studies[MESH]
  • |Rural Health/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Spain/epidemiology[MESH]


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