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10.1002/rmv.2224

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1002/rmv.2224
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33713504!8250046!33713504
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33713504      Rev+Med+Virol 2021 ; 31 (5): 1-8
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  • Estimating the impact of public health strategies on the spread of SARS-CoV-2: Epidemiological modelling for Toulouse, France #MMPMID33713504
  • Dimeglio C; Miedouge M; Loubes JM; Mansuy JM; Izopet J
  • Rev Med Virol 2021[Sep]; 31 (5): 1-8 PMID33713504show ga
  • The spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the resulting disease COVID-19 has killed over 2 million people as of 22 January 2021. We have used a modified susceptible, infected, recovered epidemiological model to predict how the spread of the virus in France will vary depending on the public health strategies adopted, including anti-COVID-19 vaccination. Our prediction model indicates that the French authorities' adoption of a gradual release from lockdown could lead in March 2021 to a virus prevalence similar to that before lockdown. However, a massive vaccination campaign initiated in January 2021 and the continuation of public health measures over several months could curb the spread of virus and thus relieve the load on hospitals.
  • |*Health Policy[MESH]
  • |Adolescent[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Aged[MESH]
  • |Aged, 80 and over[MESH]
  • |COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/epidemiology/*prevention & control/*transmission/virology[MESH]
  • |Child[MESH]
  • |Child, Preschool[MESH]
  • |Communicable Disease Control/*methods[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |France/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Public Health/legislation & jurisprudence[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2/genetics/physiology[MESH]


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