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10.1126/sciadv.abd8750

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1126/sciadv.abd8750
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33712416!8034853!33712416
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33712416      Sci+Adv 2021 ; 7 (15): ä
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  • Anatomy of digital contact tracing: Role of age, transmission setting, adoption, and case detection #MMPMID33712416
  • Moreno Lopez JA; Arregui Garcia B; Bentkowski P; Bioglio L; Pinotti F; Boelle PY; Barrat A; Colizza V; Poletto C
  • Sci Adv 2021[Apr]; 7 (15): ä PMID33712416show ga
  • The efficacy of digital contact tracing against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic is debated: Smartphone penetration is limited in many countries, with low coverage among the elderly, the most vulnerable to COVID-19. We developed an agent-based model to precise the impact of digital contact tracing and household isolation on COVID-19 transmission. The model, calibrated on French population, integrates demographic, contact and epidemiological information to describe exposure and transmission of COVID-19. We explored realistic levels of case detection, app adoption, population immunity, and transmissibility. Assuming a reproductive ratio R = 2.6 and 50% detection of clinical cases, a ~20% app adoption reduces peak incidence by ~35%. With R = 1.7, >30% app adoption lowers the epidemic to manageable levels. Higher coverage among adults, playing a central role in COVID-19 transmission, yields an indirect benefit for the elderly. These results may inform the inclusion of digital contact tracing within a COVID-19 response plan.
  • |*Contact Tracing[MESH]
  • |*Privacy[MESH]
  • |*SARS-CoV-2[MESH]
  • |*Smartphone[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Aged[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/*epidemiology/transmission[MESH]


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