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10.1126/sciadv.abd6989

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1126/sciadv.abd6989
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33674304!7935356!33674304
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33674304      Sci+Adv 2021 ; 7 (10): ä
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  • An early warning approach to monitor COVID-19 activity with multiple digital traces in near real time #MMPMID33674304
  • Kogan NE; Clemente L; Liautaud P; Kaashoek J; Link NB; Nguyen AT; Lu FS; Huybers P; Resch B; Havas C; Petutschnig A; Davis J; Chinazzi M; Mustafa B; Hanage WP; Vespignani A; Santillana M
  • Sci Adv 2021[Mar]; 7 (10): ä PMID33674304show ga
  • Given still-high levels of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) susceptibility and inconsistent transmission-containing strategies, outbreaks have continued to emerge across the United States. Until effective vaccines are widely deployed, curbing COVID-19 will require carefully timed nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). A COVID-19 early warning system is vital for this. Here, we evaluate digital data streams as early indicators of state-level COVID-19 activity from 1 March to 30 September 2020. We observe that increases in digital data stream activity anticipate increases in confirmed cases and deaths by 2 to 3 weeks. Confirmed cases and deaths also decrease 2 to 4 weeks after NPI implementation, as measured by anonymized, phone-derived human mobility data. We propose a means of harmonizing these data streams to identify future COVID-19 outbreaks. Our results suggest that combining disparate health and behavioral data may help identify disease activity changes weeks before observation using traditional epidemiological monitoring.
  • |*Epidemiological Monitoring[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/*diagnosis/*epidemiology/virology[MESH]
  • |Disease Outbreaks[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Probability[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2/*physiology[MESH]
  • |Time Factors[MESH]


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