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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 PLoS+One 2021 ; 16 (2): e0246520 Nephropedia Template TP
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Insufficient social distancing may contribute to COVID-19 outbreak: The case of Ijui city in Brazil #MMPMID33596229
Heck TG; Frantz RZ; Frizzo MN; Francois CHR; Ludwig MS; Mesenburg MA; Buratti GP; Franz LBB; Berlezi EM
PLoS One 2021[]; 16 (2): e0246520 PMID33596229show ga
The coronavirus disease that emerged in 2019 (COVID-19) is highly contagious and has given way to a global pandemic. A present COVID-19 has high transmission rates worldwide, including in small Brazilian cities such as Ijui. Located in the northwest part of the state of Rio Grande do Sul (RS) and with a population of 83,475, Ijui was selected as the site of a population-based survey involving 2,222 subjects, from April to June 2020. Subjects were tested for the presence of antibodies against coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and answered questions regarding social distance adherence (SDA), daily preventive routines (DPR), comorbidities, and sociodemographic characteristics. In parallel, the local government registered the official COVID-19 cases in Ijui, as well as the mobile social distancing index (MSDI). In this study, we demonstrate that there was a decrease in the levels of SDA, DPR and MSDI before the beginning of COVID-19 community transmission in Ijui. Furthermore, we provide predictions for the number of COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in the city. We conclude that insufficient social distancing, as evidenced by different methods, may be related to the rapid increase of COVID-19 cases in Ijui. Our study predicts an approaching outbreak of COVID-19 in Ijui through community spread, which could be avoided or attenuated with increased levels of social distancing among the population.