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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 PLoS+One 2021 ; 16 (2): e0245011 Nephropedia Template TP
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The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in Sao Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs #MMPMID33596219
Gori Maia A; Marteleto L; Rodrigues CG; Sereno LG
PLoS One 2021[]; 16 (2): e0245011 PMID33596219show ga
We analyze the trade-offs between health and the economy during the period of social distancing in Sao Paulo, the state hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. We use longitudinal data with municipal-level information and check the robustness of our estimates to several sources of bias, including spatial dependence, reverse causality, and time-variant omitted variables. We use exogenous climate shocks as instruments for social distancing since people are more likely to stay home in wetter and colder periods. Our findings suggest that the health benefits of social distancing differ by levels of municipal development and may have vanished if the COVID-19 spread was not controlled in neighboring municipalities. In turn, we did not find evidence that municipalities with tougher social distancing performed worse economically. Our results also highlight that estimates that do not account for endogeneity may largely underestimate the benefits of social distancing on reducing the spread of COVID-19.