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10.1038/s41597-021-00839-5

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1038/s41597-021-00839-5
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33574342!7878896!33574342
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33574342      Sci+Data 2021 ; 8 (1): 59
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  • The Zoltar forecast archive, a tool to standardize and store interdisciplinary prediction research #MMPMID33574342
  • Reich NG; Cornell M; Ray EL; House K; Le K
  • Sci Data 2021[Feb]; 8 (1): 59 PMID33574342show ga
  • Forecasting has emerged as an important component of informed, data-driven decision-making in a wide array of fields. We introduce a new data model for probabilistic predictions that encompasses a wide range of forecasting settings. This framework clearly defines the constituent parts of a probabilistic forecast and proposes one approach for representing these data elements. The data model is implemented in Zoltar, a new software application that stores forecasts using the data model and provides standardized API access to the data. In one real-time case study, an instance of the Zoltar web application was used to store, provide access to, and evaluate real-time forecast data on the order of 10(8) rows, provided by over 40 international research teams from academia and industry making forecasts of the COVID-19 outbreak in the US. Tools and data infrastructure for probabilistic forecasts, such as those introduced here, will play an increasingly important role in ensuring that future forecasting research adheres to a strict set of rigorous and reproducible standards.
  • |*Software[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Datasets as Topic[MESH]
  • |Disease Outbreaks[MESH]
  • |Forecasting/*methods[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]


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