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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 245.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Infect+Dis+Model 2021 ; 6 (ä): 313-323 Nephropedia Template TP
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A simple model for fitting mild, severe, and known cases during an epidemic with an application to the current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic #MMPMID33521406
Betti MI; Heffernan JM
Infect Dis Model 2021[]; 6 (ä): 313-323 PMID33521406show ga
One of the major difficulties with modelling an ongoing epidemic is that often data is limited or incomplete, making it hard to estimate key epidemic parameters and outcomes (e.g. attack rate, peak time, reporting rate, reproduction number). In the current study, we present a model for data-fitting limited infection case data which provides estimates for important epidemiological parameters and outcomes. The model can also provide reasonable short-term (one month) projections. We apply the model to the current and ongoing COVID-19 outbreak in Canada both at the national and provincial/territorial level.