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10.1016/j.jeconbus.2020.105966

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2020.105966
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33518845      J+Econ+Bus 2021 ; 115 (ä): 105966
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  • How do equity markets react to COVID-19? Evidence from emerging and developed countries #MMPMID33518845
  • Harjoto MA; Rossi F; Lee R; Sergi BS
  • J Econ Bus 2021[May]; 115 (ä): 105966 PMID33518845show ga
  • Based on the supply of stock market returns hypothesis, we argue that the unprecedented adverse shock of COVID-19 on the countries' economic growth translates into a negative shock to the stock markets. According to the institutional theory, we also argue that the impact of COVID-19 in emerging countries is different from developed countries. Based on the overreaction hypothesis, we expect that the market reaction during the stabilizing period of COVID-19 spread is different from the market reaction during the infection period. Using high-frequency daily data across 53 emerging and 23 developed countries from January 14 to August 20, 2020, we find that COVID-19 cases and deaths adversely affect stock returns and increase volatility and trading volume. Cases and deaths affected stock returns and volatility in the emerging markets, while only cases of COVID-19 affected stock returns, volatility, and trading volume in the developed markets. COVID-19 cases and deaths are related to returns, volatility, and trading volume for emerging countries during the rising infection of COVID-19 (pre-April 2020), while cases and mortality rates are related to returns, volatility, and trading volume in developed countries during the stabilizing spread (post-April 2020). Therefore, the emerging markets' investors seem to react to COVID-19 cases and mortality rates differently from those in the developed markets across two different periods of COVID-19 infection.
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