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10.1371/journal.pntd.0009070 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1371/journal.pntd.0009070 33481804!7857594!33481804     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       PLoS+Negl+Trop+Dis 2021 ; 15 (1): e0009070 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=33481804|t=2021. Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020 |pdf=|usr=}}{{33481804}} gab.com Text Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020 JO: PLoS Negl Trop Dis http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33481804 #FOAvip Since the detection of the first case of COVID-19 in Chile on March 3rd, 2020, a total of 513,188 cases, including ~14,302 deaths have been reported in Chile as of November 2nd, 2020. Here, we estimate the reproduction number throughout the epidemic in Chile and study the effectiveness of control interventions especially the effectiveness of lockdowns by conducting short-term forecasts based on the early transmission dynamics of COVID-19. Chile's incidence curve displays early sub-exponential growth dynamics with the deceleration of growth parameter, p, estimated at 0.8 (95% CI: 0.7, 0.8) and the reproduction number, R, estimated at 1.8 (95% CI: 1.6, 1.9). Our findings indicate that the control measures at the start of the epidemic significantly slowed down the spread of the virus. However, the relaxation of restrictions and spread of the virus in low-income neighborhoods in May led to a new surge of infections, followed by the reimposition of lockdowns in Greater Santiago and other municipalities. These measures have decelerated the virus spread with R estimated at ~0.96 (95% CI: 0.95, 0.98) as of November 2nd, 2020. The early sub-exponential growth trend (p ~0.8) of the COVID-19 epidemic transformed into a linear growth trend (p ~0.5) as of July 7th, 2020, after the reimposition of lockdowns. While the broad scale social distancing interventions have slowed the virus spread, the number of new COVID-19 cases continue to accrue, underscoring the need for persistent social distancing and active case detection and isolation efforts to maintain the epidemic under control. Twit Text FOAVip Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020 ????PLoS Negl Trop Dis http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33481804 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33481804 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|33481804}}</ref> Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020 #MMPMID33481804 Tariq A; Undurraga EA; Laborde CC; Vogt-Geisse K; Luo R; Rothenberg R; Chowell G PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021[Jan]; 15 (1): e0009070 PMID33481804show ga Since the detection of the first case of COVID-19 in Chile on March 3rd, 2020, a total of 513,188 cases, including ~14,302 deaths have been reported in Chile as of November 2nd, 2020. Here, we estimate the reproduction number throughout the epidemic in Chile and study the effectiveness of control interventions especially the effectiveness of lockdowns by conducting short-term forecasts based on the early transmission dynamics of COVID-19. Chile's incidence curve displays early sub-exponential growth dynamics with the deceleration of growth parameter, p, estimated at 0.8 (95% CI: 0.7, 0.8) and the reproduction number, R, estimated at 1.8 (95% CI: 1.6, 1.9). Our findings indicate that the control measures at the start of the epidemic significantly slowed down the spread of the virus. However, the relaxation of restrictions and spread of the virus in low-income neighborhoods in May led to a new surge of infections, followed by the reimposition of lockdowns in Greater Santiago and other municipalities. These measures have decelerated the virus spread with R estimated at ~0.96 (95% CI: 0.95, 0.98) as of November 2nd, 2020. The early sub-exponential growth trend (p ~0.8) of the COVID-19 epidemic transformed into a linear growth trend (p ~0.5) as of July 7th, 2020, after the reimposition of lockdowns. While the broad scale social distancing interventions have slowed the virus spread, the number of new COVID-19 cases continue to accrue, underscoring the need for persistent social distancing and active case detection and isolation efforts to maintain the epidemic under control. |Basic Reproduction Number[MESH] |COVID-19/diagnosis/epidemiology/*prevention & control/*transmission[MESH] |Chile/epidemiology[MESH] |Epidemics/prevention & control[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Incidence[MESH] |Models, Biological[MESH]Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October,(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing