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10.1016/j.chiabu.2020.104897

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.chiabu.2020.104897
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33451678!9754318!33451678
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33451678      Child+Abuse+Negl 2021 ; 116 (Pt 2): 104897
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  • Modelling the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on violent discipline against children #MMPMID33451678
  • Fabbri C; Bhatia A; Petzold M; Jugder M; Guedes A; Cappa C; Devries K
  • Child Abuse Negl 2021[Jun]; 116 (Pt 2): 104897 PMID33451678show ga
  • BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic could increase violence against children at home. However, collecting empirical data on violence is challenging due to ethical, safety, and data quality concerns. OBJECTIVE: This study estimated the anticipated effect of COVID-19 on violent discipline at home using multivariable predictive regression models. PARTICIPANTS: Children aged 1-14 years and household members from the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) conducted in Nigeria, Mongolia, and Suriname before the COVID-19 pandemic were included. METHODS: A conceptual model of how the COVID-19 pandemic could affect risk factors for violent discipline was developed. Country specific multivariable linear models were used to estimate the association between selected variables from MICS and a violent discipline score which captured the average combination of violent disciplinary methods used in the home. A review of the literature informed the development of quantitative assumptions about how COVID-19 would impact the selected variables under a "high restrictions" pandemic scenario, approximating conditions expected during a period of intense response measures, and a "lower restrictions" scenario with easing of COVID-19 restrictions but with sustained economic impacts. These assumptions were used to estimate changes in violent discipline scores. RESULTS: Under a "high restrictions" scenario there would be a 35%-46% increase in violent discipline scores in Nigeria, Mongolia and Suriname, and under a "lower restrictions" scenario there would be between a 4%-6% increase in violent discipline scores in these countries. CONCLUSION: Policy makers need to plan for increases in violent discipline during successive waves of lockdowns.
  • |*COVID-19[MESH]
  • |*Child Abuse/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Adolescent[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Aggression[MESH]
  • |Child[MESH]
  • |Child, Preschool[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Infant[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Nigeria/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Pandemics[MESH]
  • |Prevalence[MESH]
  • |Punishment[MESH]
  • |Risk Factors[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]
  • |Suriname/epidemiology[MESH]


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