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10.1093/trstmh/traa170

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1093/trstmh/traa170
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33449114!7928550!33449114
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33449114      Trans+R+Soc+Trop+Med+Hyg 2021 ; 115 (3): 222-228
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  • Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic in eliminating trachoma as a public health problem #MMPMID33449114
  • Blumberg S; Borlase A; Prada JM; Solomon AW; Emerson P; Hooper PJ; Deiner MS; Amoah B; Hollingsworth TD; Porco TC; Lietman TM
  • Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 2021[Mar]; 115 (3): 222-228 PMID33449114show ga
  • BACKGROUND: Progress towards elimination of trachoma as a public health problem has been substantial, but the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has disrupted community-based control efforts. METHODS: We use a susceptible-infected model to estimate the impact of delayed distribution of azithromycin treatment on the prevalence of active trachoma. RESULTS: We identify three distinct scenarios for geographic districts depending on whether the basic reproduction number and the treatment-associated reproduction number are above or below a value of 1. We find that when the basic reproduction number is <1, no significant delays in disease control will be caused. However, when the basic reproduction number is >1, significant delays can occur. In most districts, 1 y of COVID-related delay can be mitigated by a single extra round of mass drug administration. However, supercritical districts require a new paradigm of infection control because the current strategies will not eliminate disease. CONCLUSIONS: If the pandemic can motivate judicious, community-specific implementation of control strategies, global elimination of trachoma as a public health problem could be accelerated.
  • |Anti-Bacterial Agents/*therapeutic use[MESH]
  • |Azithromycin/*therapeutic use[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/*epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Communicable Disease Control/*organization & administration[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Mass Drug Administration[MESH]
  • |Neglected Diseases/epidemiology/prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Pandemics[MESH]
  • |Prevalence[MESH]
  • |Public Health[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]


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