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10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110595 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110595 33424141!7785284!33424141     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Chaos+Solitons+Fractals 2021 ; 144 (ä): 110595 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=33424141|t=2021. COVID-19: Analytic results for a modified SEIR model and comparison of different intervention strategies |pdf=|usr=}}{{33424141}} gab.com Text COVID-19: Analytic results for a modified SEIR model and comparison of different intervention strategies JO: Chaos Solitons Fractals http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33424141 #FOAvip The Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model is one of the standard models of disease spreading. Here we analyse an extended SEIR model that accounts for asymptomatic carriers, believed to play an important role in COVID-19 transmission. For this model we derive a number of analytic results for important quantities such as the peak number of infections, the time taken to reach the peak and the size of the final affected population. We also propose an accurate way of specifying initial conditions for the numerics (from insufficient data) using the fact that the early time exponential growth is well-described by the dominant eigenvector of the linearized equations. Secondly we explore the effect of different intervention strategies such as social distancing (SD) and testing-quarantining (TQ). The two intervention strategies (SD and TQ) try to reduce the disease reproductive number, R0, to a target value R0target < 1, but in distinct ways, which we implement in our model equations. We find that for the same R0target < 1, TQ is more efficient in controlling the pandemic than SD. However, for TQ to be effective, it has to be based on contact tracing and our study quantifies the required ratio of tests-per-day to the number of new cases-per-day. Our analysis shows that the largest eigenvalue of the linearised dynamics provides a simple understanding of the disease progression, both pre- and post- intervention, and explains observed data for many countries. We apply our results to the COVID data for India to obtain heuristic projections for the course of the pandemic, and note that the predictions strongly depend on the assumed fraction of asymptomatic carriers. Twit Text FOAVip COVID-19: Analytic results for a modified SEIR model and comparison of different intervention strategies ????Chaos Solitons Fractals http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33424141 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33424141 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|33424141}}</ref> COVID-19: Analytic results for a modified SEIR model and comparison of different intervention strategies #MMPMID33424141 Das A; Dhar A; Goyal S; Kundu A; Pandey S Chaos Solitons Fractals 2021[Mar]; 144 (ä): 110595 PMID33424141show ga The Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model is one of the standard models of disease spreading. Here we analyse an extended SEIR model that accounts for asymptomatic carriers, believed to play an important role in COVID-19 transmission. For this model we derive a number of analytic results for important quantities such as the peak number of infections, the time taken to reach the peak and the size of the final affected population. We also propose an accurate way of specifying initial conditions for the numerics (from insufficient data) using the fact that the early time exponential growth is well-described by the dominant eigenvector of the linearized equations. Secondly we explore the effect of different intervention strategies such as social distancing (SD) and testing-quarantining (TQ). The two intervention strategies (SD and TQ) try to reduce the disease reproductive number, R0, to a target value R0target < 1, but in distinct ways, which we implement in our model equations. We find that for the same R0target < 1, TQ is more efficient in controlling the pandemic than SD. However, for TQ to be effective, it has to be based on contact tracing and our study quantifies the required ratio of tests-per-day to the number of new cases-per-day. Our analysis shows that the largest eigenvalue of the linearised dynamics provides a simple understanding of the disease progression, both pre- and post- intervention, and explains observed data for many countries. We apply our results to the COVID data for India to obtain heuristic projections for the course of the pandemic, and note that the predictions strongly depend on the assumed fraction of asymptomatic carriers. äCOVID-19: Analytic results for a modified SEIR model and comparison of(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing