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10.1016/j.jiph.2020.11.014

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.jiph.2020.11.014
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33412372!7725062!33412372
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33412372      J+Infect+Public+Health 2021 ; 14 (1): 123-130
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  • Testing the identification effectiveness of an unknown outbreak of the Infectious Diseases Seeker (IDS) using and comparing the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak with the past SARS and MERS epidemics #MMPMID33412372
  • Baldassi F; Cenciarelli O; Malizia A; Gaudio P
  • J Infect Public Health 2021[Jan]; 14 (1): 123-130 PMID33412372show ga
  • BACKGROUND: The aim of this research is to assess the predictive accuracy of the Infectious Diseases Seeker (IDS) - an innovative tool for prompt identification of the causative agent of infectious diseases during outbreaks - when field epidemiological data collected from a novel outbreak of unknown origin are analysed by the tool. For this reason, it has been taken into account the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, which began in China at the end of December 2019, has rapidly spread around the globe, and it has led to a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC), declared to the 30th of January 2020 by the World Health Organization (WHO). METHODS: The IDS takes advantage of an off-line database, built before the COVID-19 pandemic, which represents a pivotal characteristic for working without an internet connection. The software has been tested using the epidemiological data available in different and progressive stages of the COVID-19 outbreak. As a comparison, the results of the tests performed using the epidemiological data from the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) epidemic in 2002 and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) epidemic in 2012, are shown. RESULTS: The overall outcomes provided by the software are comforting, as a matter of the fact that IDS has identified with a good accuracy the SARS and MERS epidemics (over 90%), while, as expected, it has not provided erroneous and equivocal readings after the elaboration COVID-19 epidemic data. CONCLUSIONS: Even though IDS has not recognized the COVID-19 epidemic, it has not given to the end user a false result and wrong interpretation, as expected by the developers. For this reason, IDS reveals itself as useful software to identify a possible epidemic or outbreak. Thus, the intention of developers is to plan, once the software will be released, dedicated updates and upgrades of the database (e.g., SARS-CoV-2) in order to keep this tool increasingly useful and applicable to reality.
  • |*Databases, Factual[MESH]
  • |*Population Surveillance[MESH]
  • |*SARS-CoV-2[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/*epidemiology/virology[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/virology[MESH]
  • |Disease Outbreaks[MESH]
  • |Global Health[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus[MESH]


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