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The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States #MMPMID33250828
Shefrin H
Front Psychol 2020[]; 11 (?): 590594 PMID33250828show ga
This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink.