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10.1097/CCE.0000000000000253

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1097/CCE.0000000000000253
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33134944!7581153!33134944
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33134944      Crit+Care+Explor 2020 ; 2 (10): e0253
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  • Clinical Risk Prediction Scores in Coronavirus Disease 2019: Beware of Low Validity and Clinical Utility #MMPMID33134944
  • Al Hassan H; Cocks E; Jesani L; Lewis S; Szakmany T
  • Crit Care Explor 2020[Oct]; 2 (10): e0253 PMID33134944show ga
  • Several risk stratification tools were developed to predict disease progression in coronavirus disease 2019, with no external validation to date. We attempted to validate three previously published risk-stratification tools in a multicenter study. Primary outcome was a composite outcome of development of severe coronavirus disease 2019 disease leading to ICU admission or death censored at hospital discharge or 30 days. We collected data from 169 patients. Patients were 73 years old (59-82 yr old), 66 of 169 (39.1%) were female, 57 (33.7%) had one comorbidity, and 80 (47.3%) had two or more comorbidities. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% CI) for the COVID-GRAM score was 0.636 (0.550-0.722), for the CALL score 0.500 (0.411-0.589), and for the nomogram 0.628 (0.543-0.714).
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