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10.1073/pnas.2004904117 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1073/pnas.2004904117 33077604!7959508!33077604     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Proc+Natl+Acad+Sci+U+S+A 2020 ; 117 (44): 27703-27711 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=33077604|t=2020. Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic |pdf=|usr=}}{{33077604}} gab.com Text Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic JO: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33077604 #FOAvip Historical records reveal the temporal patterns of a sequence of plague epidemics in London, United Kingdom, from the 14th to 17th centuries. Analysis of these records shows that later epidemics spread significantly faster ("accelerated"). Between the Black Death of 1348 and the later epidemics that culminated with the Great Plague of 1665, we estimate that the epidemic growth rate increased fourfold. Currently available data do not provide enough information to infer the mode of plague transmission in any given epidemic; nevertheless, order-of-magnitude estimates of epidemic parameters suggest that the observed slow growth rates in the 14th century are inconsistent with direct (pneumonic) transmission. We discuss the potential roles of demographic and ecological factors, such as climate change or human or rat population density, in driving the observed acceleration. Twit Text FOAVip Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic ????Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33077604 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=33077604 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|33077604}}</ref> Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic #MMPMID33077604 Earn DJD; Ma J; Poinar H; Dushoff J; Bolker BM Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2020[Nov]; 117 (44): 27703-27711 PMID33077604show ga Historical records reveal the temporal patterns of a sequence of plague epidemics in London, United Kingdom, from the 14th to 17th centuries. Analysis of these records shows that later epidemics spread significantly faster ("accelerated"). Between the Black Death of 1348 and the later epidemics that culminated with the Great Plague of 1665, we estimate that the epidemic growth rate increased fourfold. Currently available data do not provide enough information to infer the mode of plague transmission in any given epidemic; nevertheless, order-of-magnitude estimates of epidemic parameters suggest that the observed slow growth rates in the 14th century are inconsistent with direct (pneumonic) transmission. We discuss the potential roles of demographic and ecological factors, such as climate change or human or rat population density, in driving the observed acceleration. |Animals[MESH] |History, 15th Century[MESH] |History, 16th Century[MESH] |History, 17th Century[MESH] |History, Medieval[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |London[MESH] |Pandemics/*history[MESH] |Plague/*epidemiology/*history/transmission[MESH] |Population Density[MESH]Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic (epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing