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10.1016/j.puhe.2020.08.025

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.puhe.2020.08.025
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33039678      Public+Health 2020 ; 188 (ä): 4-7
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  • A simple tool for comparing benefits and costs of COVID-19 exit strategies #MMPMID33039678
  • Frank J; Williams AJ
  • Public Health 2020[Nov]; 188 (ä): 4-7 PMID33039678show ga
  • BACKGROUND: Governments and health policymakers are now looking for strategies to lift the COVID-19 lockdown, while reducing risk to the public. METHODS: We propose the population attributable risk (PAR) as an established epidemiological tool that could support decision-making through quickly estimating the main benefits and costs of various exit strategies. RESULTS: We demonstrate the feasibility of use of PAR using pandemic data, that were publicly available in mid-May 2020 from Scotland and the US, to estimate the proportion of COVID-19 hospital admissions which might be avoided, and the proportion of adverse labour market effects - for various scenarios - based on maintaining the lockdown for those of certain ages with and without comorbidities. CONCLUSION: These calculations could be refined and applied in different countries to inform important COVID-19 policy decisions, using routinely collected data.
  • |*Public Policy[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Aged[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Employment/economics[MESH]
  • |Feasibility Studies[MESH]
  • |Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Pandemics/*prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Quarantine/legislation & jurisprudence[MESH]
  • |Risk Assessment/*methods[MESH]
  • |Scotland/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |United States/epidemiology[MESH]


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