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10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043763

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043763
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid33020109      BMJ+Open 2020 ; 10 (10): e043763
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  • Access to primary healthcare during lockdown measures for COVID-19 in rural South Africa: an interrupted time series analysis #MMPMID33020109
  • Siedner MJ; Kraemer JD; Meyer MJ; Harling G; Mngomezulu T; Gabela P; Dlamini S; Gareta D; Majozi N; Ngwenya N; Seeley J; Wong E; Iwuji C; Shahmanesh M; Hanekom W; Herbst K
  • BMJ Open 2020[Oct]; 10 (10): e043763 PMID33020109show ga
  • OBJECTIVES: We evaluated whether implementation of lockdown orders in South Africa affected ambulatory clinic visitation in rural Kwa-Zulu Natal (KZN). DESIGN: Observational cohort SETTING: Data were analysed from 11 primary healthcare clinics in northern KZN. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 46 523 individuals made 89 476 clinic visits during the observation period. EXPOSURE OF INTEREST: We conducted an interrupted time series analysis to estimate changes in clinic visitation with a focus on transitions from the prelockdown to the level 5, 4 and 3 lockdown periods. OUTCOME MEASURES: Daily clinic visitation at ambulatory clinics. In stratified analyses, we assessed visitation for the following subcategories: child health, perinatal care and family planning, HIV services, non-communicable diseases and by age and sex strata. RESULTS: We found no change in total clinic visits/clinic/day at the time of implementation of the level 5 lockdown (change from 90.3 to 84.6 mean visits/clinic/day, 95% CI -16.5 to 3.1), or at the transitions to less stringent level 4 and 3 lockdown levels. We did detect a >50% reduction in child healthcare visits at the start of the level 5 lockdown from 11.9 to 4.7 visits/day (-7.1 visits/clinic/day, 95% CI -8.9 to 5.3), both for children aged <1 year and 1-5 years, with a gradual return to prelockdown within 3 months after the first lockdown measure. In contrast, we found no drop in clinic visitation in adults at the start of the level 5 lockdown, or related to HIV care (from 37.5 to 45.6, 8.0 visits/clinic/day, 95% CI 2.1 to 13.8). CONCLUSIONS: In rural KZN, we identified a significant, although temporary, reduction in child healthcare visitation but general resilience of adult ambulatory care provision during the first 4 months of the lockdown. Future work should explore the impacts of the circulating epidemic on primary care provision and long-term impacts of reduced child visitation on outcomes in the region.
  • |*Primary Health Care/methods/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |*Public Health/methods/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Age Factors[MESH]
  • |Ambulatory Care/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Betacoronavirus[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Family Planning Services/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |HIV Infections/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Health Services Accessibility/*statistics & numerical data/*trends[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Pandemics[MESH]
  • |Pediatrics/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Rural Population[MESH]


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