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10.3934/mbe.2020208 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.3934/mbe.2020208 32987551!ä!32987551 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Math+Biosci+Eng 2020 ; 17 (4): 3710-3720 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32987551|t=2020. Analysis of COVID-19 transmission in Shanxi Province with discrete time imported cases |pdf=|usr=}}{{32987551}} gab.com Text Analysis of COVID-19 transmission in Shanxi Province with discrete time imported cases JO: Math Biosci Eng http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32987551 #FOAvip Since December 2019, an outbreak of a novel coronavirus pneumonia (WHO named COVID-19) swept across China. In Shanxi Province, the cumulative confirmed cases finally reached 133 since the first confirmed case appeared on January 22, 2020, and most of which were imported cases from Hubei Province. Reasons for this ongoing surge in Shanxi province, both imported and autochthonous infected cases, are currently unclear and demand urgent investigation. In this paper, we developed a SEIQR difference-equation model of COVID-19 that took into account the transmission with discrete time imported cases, to perform assessment and risk analysis. Our findings suggest that if the lock-down date in Wuhan is earlier, the infectious cases are fewer. Moreover, we reveal the effects of city lock-down date on the final scale of cases: if the date is advanced two days, the cases may decrease one half (67, 95% CI: 66-68); if the date is delayed for two days, the cases may reach about 196 (95% CI: 193-199). Our investigation model could be potentially helpful to study the transmission of COVID-19, in other provinces of China except Hubei. Especially, the method may also be used in countries with the first confirmed case is imported. Twit Text FOAVip Analysis of COVID-19 transmission in Shanxi Province with discrete time imported cases ????Math Biosci Eng http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32987551 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32987551 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32987551}}</ref> Analysis of COVID-19 transmission in Shanxi Province with discrete time imported cases #MMPMID32987551 Li MT; Sun GQ; Zhang J; Zhao Y; Pei X; Li L; Wang Y; Zhang WY; Zhang ZK; Jin Z Math Biosci Eng 2020[May]; 17 (4): 3710-3720 PMID32987551show ga Since December 2019, an outbreak of a novel coronavirus pneumonia (WHO named COVID-19) swept across China. In Shanxi Province, the cumulative confirmed cases finally reached 133 since the first confirmed case appeared on January 22, 2020, and most of which were imported cases from Hubei Province. Reasons for this ongoing surge in Shanxi province, both imported and autochthonous infected cases, are currently unclear and demand urgent investigation. In this paper, we developed a SEIQR difference-equation model of COVID-19 that took into account the transmission with discrete time imported cases, to perform assessment and risk analysis. Our findings suggest that if the lock-down date in Wuhan is earlier, the infectious cases are fewer. Moreover, we reveal the effects of city lock-down date on the final scale of cases: if the date is advanced two days, the cases may decrease one half (67, 95% CI: 66-68); if the date is delayed for two days, the cases may reach about 196 (95% CI: 193-199). Our investigation model could be potentially helpful to study the transmission of COVID-19, in other provinces of China except Hubei. Especially, the method may also be used in countries with the first confirmed case is imported. |*Betacoronavirus[MESH] |*Models, Biological[MESH] |*Pandemics/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data[MESH] |Basic Reproduction Number/statistics & numerical data[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |China/epidemiology[MESH] |Computer Simulation[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/prevention & control/*transmission[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Markov Chains[MESH] |Mathematical Concepts[MESH] |Monte Carlo Method[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/prevention & control/*transmission[MESH] |Quarantine/statistics & numerical data[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH] |Time Factors[MESH]Analysis of COVID-19 transmission in Shanxi Province with discrete tim(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing