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10.3934/mbe.2020172

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.3934/mbe.2020172
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32987515!ä!32987515

suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32987515      Math+Biosci+Eng 2020 ; 17 (4): 3040-3051
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  • Predicting the cumulative number of cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in China from early data #MMPMID32987515
  • Liu ZH; Magal P; Seydi O; Webb G
  • Math Biosci Eng 2020[Apr]; 17 (4): 3040-3051 PMID32987515show ga
  • We model the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic in China. We use early reported case data to predict the cumulative number of reported cases to a final size. The key features of our model are the timing of implementation of major public policies restricting social movement, the identification and isolation of unreported cases, and the impact of asymptomatic infectious cases.
  • |*Betacoronavirus[MESH]
  • |*Models, Biological[MESH]
  • |*Pandemics/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Asymptomatic Infections/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Basic Reproduction Number/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |China/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Computer Simulation[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology/prevention & control/transmission[MESH]
  • |Epidemics/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Mathematical Concepts[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology/prevention & control/transmission[MESH]
  • |Quarantine/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]


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