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10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104274 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104274 32921841!7480328!32921841     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       J+Public+Econ 2020 ; 191 (ä): 104274 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32921841|t=2020. Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic |pdf=|usr=}}{{32921841}} gab.com Text Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic JO: J Public Econ http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32921841 #FOAvip We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based policy uncertainty, Twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about business growth, forecaster disagreement about future GDP growth, and a model-based measure of macro uncertainty. Four results emerge. First, all indicators show huge uncertainty jumps in reaction to the pandemic and its economic fallout. Indeed, most indicators reach their highest values on record. Second, peak amplitudes differ greatly - from a 35% rise for the model-based measure of US economic uncertainty (relative to January 2020) to a 20-fold rise in forecaster disagreement about UK growth. Third, time paths also differ: Implied volatility rose rapidly from late February, peaked in mid-March, and fell back by late March as stock prices began to recover. In contrast, broader measures of uncertainty peaked later and then plateaued, as job losses mounted, highlighting differences between Wall Street and Main Street uncertainty measures. Fourth, in Cholesky-identified VAR models fit to monthly U.S. data, a COVID-size uncertainty shock foreshadows peak drops in industrial production of 12-19%. Twit Text FOAVip Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic ????J Public Econ http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32921841 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32921841 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32921841}}</ref> Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic #MMPMID32921841 Altig D; Baker S; Barrero JM; Bloom N; Bunn P; Chen S; Davis SJ; Leather J; Meyer B; Mihaylov E; Mizen P; Parker N; Renault T; Smietanka P; Thwaites G J Public Econ 2020[Nov]; 191 (ä): 104274 PMID32921841show ga We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based policy uncertainty, Twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about business growth, forecaster disagreement about future GDP growth, and a model-based measure of macro uncertainty. Four results emerge. First, all indicators show huge uncertainty jumps in reaction to the pandemic and its economic fallout. Indeed, most indicators reach their highest values on record. Second, peak amplitudes differ greatly - from a 35% rise for the model-based measure of US economic uncertainty (relative to January 2020) to a 20-fold rise in forecaster disagreement about UK growth. Third, time paths also differ: Implied volatility rose rapidly from late February, peaked in mid-March, and fell back by late March as stock prices began to recover. In contrast, broader measures of uncertainty peaked later and then plateaued, as job losses mounted, highlighting differences between Wall Street and Main Street uncertainty measures. Fourth, in Cholesky-identified VAR models fit to monthly U.S. data, a COVID-size uncertainty shock foreshadows peak drops in industrial production of 12-19%. äEconomic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing