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10.1016/j.ijid.2020.09.006

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.09.006
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32898670!7833935!32898670
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32898670      Int+J+Infect+Dis 2020 ; 100 (ä): 193-195
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  • Timing of national lockdown and mortality in COVID-19: The Italian experience #MMPMID32898670
  • Silverio A; Di Maio M; Ciccarelli M; Carrizzo A; Vecchione C; Galasso G
  • Int J Infect Dis 2020[Nov]; 100 (ä): 193-195 PMID32898670show ga
  • OBJECTIVE: To evaluate if the pandemic mitigation effects of lockdown in Italy have been influenced by the level of penetration of COVID-19 in Italian Regions at the onset of containment (March 9, 2020). METHODS: We collected data published day by daily from the first COVID-19 case until May 3, 2020, the end of lockdown, by Italy's Protezione Civile Department. Linear regression analyses were performed to evaluate possible correlations between the number of confirmed cases/100.000 residents and the number of new cases/100.000/day before lockdown, with the number of deaths/100.000 residents at sixty days, in each Italian region. RESULTS: We found a significant positive correlation between the number of confirmed cases before lockdown and mortality up to sixty days (p < 0.001; R(2) = 0.57) as well as between the incidence rate of new cases per day and mortality up to sixty days (p < 0.001; R(2) = 0.73). Regression coefficients indicated about two deaths up to sixty days for every new patient with confirmed COVID-19 before lockdown, and 37 deaths for every new infected subject per day until the lockdown decree of March 9, 2020. CONCLUSIONS: Every new infected subject before lockdown counted on the death toll of the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy.
  • |*Quarantine[MESH]
  • |COVID-19/epidemiology/mortality/*prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Italy/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Pandemics[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]


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