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10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2 32848152!7449964!32848152     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 247.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Nat+Commun 2020 ; 11 (1): 4264 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32848152|t=2020. The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures |pdf=|usr=}}{{32848152}} gab.com Text The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures JO: Nat Commun http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32848152 #FOAvip The pressing need to restart socioeconomic activities locked-down to control the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy must be coupled with effective methodologies to selectively relax containment measures. Here we employ a spatially explicit model, properly attentive to the role of inapparent infections, capable of: estimating the expected unfolding of the outbreak under continuous lockdown (baseline trajectory); assessing deviations from the baseline, should lockdown relaxations result in increased disease transmission; calculating the isolation effort required to prevent a resurgence of the outbreak. A 40% increase in effective transmission would yield a rebound of infections. A control effort capable of isolating daily ~5.5% of the exposed and highly infectious individuals proves necessary to maintain the epidemic curve onto the decreasing baseline trajectory. We finally provide an ex-post assessment based on the epidemiological data that became available after the initial analysis and estimate the actual disease transmission that occurred after weakening the lockdown. Twit Text FOAVip The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures ????Nat Commun http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32848152 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32848152 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32848152}}</ref> The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures #MMPMID32848152 Bertuzzo E; Mari L; Pasetto D; Miccoli S; Casagrandi R; Gatto M; Rinaldo A Nat Commun 2020[Aug]; 11 (1): 4264 PMID32848152show ga The pressing need to restart socioeconomic activities locked-down to control the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy must be coupled with effective methodologies to selectively relax containment measures. Here we employ a spatially explicit model, properly attentive to the role of inapparent infections, capable of: estimating the expected unfolding of the outbreak under continuous lockdown (baseline trajectory); assessing deviations from the baseline, should lockdown relaxations result in increased disease transmission; calculating the isolation effort required to prevent a resurgence of the outbreak. A 40% increase in effective transmission would yield a rebound of infections. A control effort capable of isolating daily ~5.5% of the exposed and highly infectious individuals proves necessary to maintain the epidemic curve onto the decreasing baseline trajectory. We finally provide an ex-post assessment based on the epidemiological data that became available after the initial analysis and estimate the actual disease transmission that occurred after weakening the lockdown. |Basic Reproduction Number[MESH] |Betacoronavirus[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Communicable Disease Control/*standards/trends[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology/*prevention & control/transmission[MESH] |Forecasting[MESH] |Geography[MESH] |Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data/trends[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Italy/epidemiology[MESH] |Models, Theoretical[MESH] |Pandemics/*prevention & control[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology/*prevention & control/transmission[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the rel(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing